At the moment, however, Florida Republicans would choose DeSantis, despite Trump being a Sunshine State resident.. Try looking in the mirror for once: Governor @RonDeSantisFL BLASTS Brandon for his abysmal approval ratings , "You want to know why your approval ratings are in the toilet? The poll results were initially mentioned in an NBC News report. Florida Politics GOP Candidate: Ron DeSantis (Incumbent) Dem Candidates: Charlie Crist, Nikki Fried, Annette Taddeo, David Nelson Freeman. Meanwhile, among the 10 states where governors have lost the least, seven governors are Democrats and only 3 are Republicans. DeSantis still has strong support among the GOP base, with more than four in five Florida Republicans saying they still approve of the governor, although that number Every little bit helps. DeSantis approval rating is down to 36% and Abbotts is even lower, at 32%. The results seem all the more startling considering the same pollster in June showed DeSantis with adouble-digit leadover either Democratic challenger. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic Polling numbers are not the only problem for Trump. At first blush, the behavior of so many Republican governors seems self-destructive. In a head-to-head with the Orlando Congresswoman, Rubio leads 55% to Demings 45%. And 62% rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from the 50% rating in January. Morning Consult surveyed 4,174 voters in Florida and 3,041 voters in Texas from Aug. 21 to 30, with margins of error from 1 to 3 percentage points. And 62% rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from the 50% rating in January. Kamala maybe? But both men say they are running for re-election in 2022 and both are in very bad shape for incumbent politicians. His national approval is 33 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove, according to the Yahoo News poll. His side hobby is inserting himself into Republican primaries, where he has shown a marked inability to move GOP voters. Younger voters are poised to upend American politics. Term Limits. Thats a sizable surge in popularity for the governor, who trailed Trump 47%-40% in a Suffolk poll taken in January. Mon, Aug 23, 2021 at 5:55 pm. DeSantis, an ardent supporter of former President Trump and a rising star in the GOP, has been predicted to be a contender for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. Charlie is the experienced fighter Floridians need and want in Tallahassee right now.". A University of North Florida poll had an even bigger margin in the governor's favor, giving him a 21-point lead ahead of Crist. Note: States identified in red with an R in parentheses have Republican governors; states in blue with a D in parentheses have Democratic governors. The state first broke that record on July 27 with 38,321 newly reported cases. Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. The potential re-election of Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio would make the state of Florida ground zero for the national Republican Party, said Paleologos. In a hypothetical matchup pitting DeSantis versus President Biden in 2024, DeSantis led 52%-44% among voters, exactly matching his lead from the January Suffolk University/USA TODAY network poll. Covid has not been much kinder to the 50 state governors than it has been to presidents. "If you look at all the different policy responses around the world since the start of the pandemic, there is no correlation between COVID prevalence andmask mandates, lockdowns, curfews, vaccine passportsor even vaccination rate.". [1] Data for Tables 1 and 2 comes from The Covid States Project Report #66: September 2021 update on executive approval, available at https://osf.io/dva5r/, governors would be the ones with the power. DeSantis is also leading the field in the 2022 race for governor, where he tops Democratic challenger Charlie Crist 48%-41%, as well as Independent Carmen Jackie Gimenez (3%) and Libertarian Hector Roos (1%), with 7% of voters undecided. The public is not sympathetic tothe Capitol rioters of 2021, with68 percent disapproving, including majorities ofall demographic and ideological groups 58 percent amongRepublicans;52 percent think Trump had a lot or some responsibility, including majoritiesor pluralities of alldemographic groups; just 24 percent thinkhe had no responsibility. BREAKING: Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis re-election chances are put in major jeopardy as a new poll of Florida voters shows that hes losing to Democrat Charlie Crist, who is at 48% of the vote compared to DeSantis 47%. Its starting to look like DeSantis could do that on his own. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. Trump is on the defensive and faces a longfight and thatis not where Trump does well. "BREAKING: Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' re-election chances are put in major jeopardy as a new poll of Florida voters shows that he's losing to Democrat Charlie Crist, who is at 48% of the vote compared to DeSantis' 47%," wrote OccupyDemocrats in a tweet that gathered nearly 100,000 interactions since June 22, 2022. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 Recent social media posts have claimed that incumbent Ron DeSantis has fallen behind Democrat Charlie Crist in the Florida governor race. TheYahoo survey shows just 31 percent of the public wants Trump to run; only 29 percent of independents agree, whilenot a single demographic is net positive. In the past month, Trumps best result is a 42-38 percent lead in a May Redfield & Wilton survey. The poll surveyed 2,904 registered voters in Florida. Ron DeSantis favorability ratings underwater as Florida endures another surge in COVID-19 infections. "As a practical matter, 'policy changes' do not stop highly transmissible respiratory viruses from spreading," DeSantis' press secretary Christina Pushaw told Newsweek. But here, too, the methodology is dubious, with the pollsters themselves noting that it sampled "likely voters" via landline calls. WebAmong Democrats, President Bidens approval rating has fallen from 90% to 87% and from 16% to 11% with Republicans. As the Appendix to this article shows, the pandemic has taken its toll on almost everyone. The budget, DeSantis explained, continues our commitment to supporting the brave men and women in law enforcement, invests in our K-12 education for students and teachers, and preserves and protects Floridas natural resources all while maintaining record reserves and enacting the largest tax relief in state history: The state, he suggested, is forging ahead championing freedom first policies, despite the hardships rooted in Washington, DC, at the hands of the Biden administration. But that is where the good news ends. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95% level of confidence. The subset of 163 likely 2024 Democratic Primary voters for president has a margin of error of +/-7.7 percentage points and the subset of 174 likely 2024 Republican Primary voters for president has a margin of error of +/-7.4 percentage points. In a list of most important issues, 33% of voters listed inflation/economy, far ahead of the second and third most-ranked issues of threats to democracy (13%) and abortion rights (11%). "Note that the data is from surveys of Registered voters and NOT likely voters. DeSantis has a 50-43% favorability rating, while Crist has a negative 34-39% favorability rating, with more than a quarter of voters either not knowing him or having no opinion about him. Trump is trending down against DeSantison the national ballot and, for the first time, is losing in a state primary ballot test. DeSantis is even performing well with Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove. Please let us know if you're having issues with commenting. DeSantis' approval rating plummeted as Florida's Covid-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021. This statewide survey of 500 likely Florida voters was conducted September 15-18 using live telephone interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor. Creative Loafings 2023 endorsements for Tampa City Council, mayor and charter amendments, Creative Loafing Tampa Bay is hiring a staff writer, Tampa Mayor Jane Castor is a shoe-in for re-election, so write someone else in, Scroll to read more Florida News articles. The real-world results have been horrific. The poll was referred to by Crist's campaign on Tuesday. Not too long ago, he announced a policy initiative entitled Virginia is for Vaccine Loversand has spent time on social media and in campaign ads seeking to tie Youngkin to the Covid strategies that are popular amongst so many Republican governors. DeSantis can be DeFeated," the user BrooklynDad_Defiant! RCP Senate Map | Senate Polls | Generic Congressional Vote | RCP Governor Map | Governor An August 6 CDC-cohort study of COVID-19 infections rates in Kentucky found that higher vaccination rates helped reduce infections among the vaccinated. American arms control leadership: What now? But nearly 90% of Democrats say they would pick Crist over DeSantis, and 83% say the same in a Fried/DeSantis head-to-head. Ron DeSantis has raised more than $100 million for his reelection effort. 2018: DeSantis (R) +0.4|2014: Scott (R) +1.1, RCP Senate Map|Senate Polls|Generic Congressional Vote|RCP Governor Map|Governor Polls|All 2022 Polls, RCP Average:DeSantis +9.6RCP Ranking:Leans GOPKey 2022 Races:Senate|DeSantis vs. Crist, 2020:President|FL-7|FL-13|FL-15|FL-16|FL-262018:Governor|Senate|FL-7|FL-15|FL-16|FL-18|FL-26|FL-272016:President|Senate|FL-7|FL-13|FL-18|FL-262014:Governor|FL-2|FL-18|FL-262012:President|Senate|House2010:Governor|Senate|House2008:Pres|FL-8|FL-16|FL-21|FL-24|FL-25, All Florida Governor - DeSantis vs. Fried Polling Data. The two premier contests next month are the governors races in New Jersey and Virginia. We make memes more than we predict elections to be honest. underwhelming, but not **that** bad. Not a single poll has put Trump at 50 percent or higher. In the 2016 Florida GOP Primary, Trump easily defeated hometown favorite Senator Marco Rubio 46%-27%. The drops in support come as the Texas Republican made headlines for cracking down on mask and vaccine mandates amid a surge of the COVID-19 delta variant in the state. Unfortunatelyfor him, Trump is noSeinfeld.Hes more likeThe Cosby Show hotfor a while butnow forgotten. "The most important objective is to alleviate the risk of severe illness, particularly hospitalizations, from COVID-19.". Losing a re-election race or deciding not to run because you are likely to lose are not good A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. But, as the reporter goes on to clarify, the latest data comes with some caveats. Among independents, 60 percent approve and 23 percent disapprove. Please considermaking a one time or monthly donationto help support our staff. The survey methodology notes that samples "drawn from a known registered voter list in FL.". Just a small uptick in fortunecould make Trump a two-time loser to Biden. DeSantis approval rating is down to 36% and Abbotts is even lower, at 32%. The Covid States Project is a consortium of academics and pollsters who have been tracking the approval ratings of Americas governors throughout the pandemic. Another poll, conducted by The Political Matrix/Listener Group, also showed Crist gaining an incremental advantage of 50.6 percent of the 714 respondents polled. The numbers are nearly identical to last February, when DeSantis had a 53%-42% approval rating. At the start of July, 72 percent of Democrats disapproved of his performance. Of note, the same poll shows Rubio winning his race against likely Democratic nomineeVal Demings, the most prominent Democrat challenging him. "A survey of 1,200 registered Florida voters conducted in mid-May by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio and obtained by NBC News showed DeSantis earning 47 percent of the vote and his top Democratic rival, former Gov. Helags Trump nationally and inprimary polling. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. For months, Bidens approval ratings have continued to tank as a majority of Americans disapprove of his job performance. Follow him on Twitter@KNaughton711. Morning Consult found that the governors are still largely popular among Republican voters in their states, though approval has declined slightly. I wrote in this space in May that aDeSantis-Tim Scottticket would beable to knock out Trump and be a favorite to wipe out any Democratic ticket in 2024. Florida Gov. As the election for Governor of Florida draws closer, several prominent social media accounts have claimed that the incumbent Ron DeSantis may be facing a tougher challenge than anticipated, with recent polls allegedly tilting in favor of his Democratic opponent, U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist from the 13th District. His disapproval rating has risen over the last two months as Florida's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths have reached their highest levels since the pandemic began. But if thats the case, why doesTrump seem so panicky these days? Florida Gov. WebOf all the elected officials mentioned in the survey, DeSantis has the highest job approval rating at 58%. 1:48 Florida Gov. Basically imo a blank face Democrat. All rights reserved. Another poll, conducted in April by Morning Consult, showed 56 percent of Floridians approving of the governor and just 38 percent disapproving. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. As President Trump dithered his way through the first months of the pandemic, it became clear that when it came to peoples daily lives, governors would be the ones with the power. 2018: DeSantis (R) +0.4 | 2014: Scott (R) +1.1. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. Charlie Crist, earning 48 percent []" the article states. Its new record for most new cases reported in a single day occurred on August 10 with 56,610 newly reported cases. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. 73 Tremont Street According totheYouGov June21benchmark, Trump is at80 percent approval, meaning he is running nearly 30 points behind on the ballot test. What we know so far is that in the two gubernatorial races coming up next month it is clear that its the pandemic stupid. In New Jersey, the incumbent governor, Phil Murphy, is running for re-election. Morning Consult noted that before Kabul fell to the Taliban, Biden still had a net-positive approval rating of 51%. Between late April 2020 when the pandemic was in full swing and September of this year, approval ratings among governors have dropped from an average of 64% to an average of 45%. Nearly half of voters polled this month said they were worse off than they were four years ago. Trumps Covid leadership was a major cause of his election loss and the continuation of the pandemic is a big part of President Bidens recent decline in the polls. Ron DeSantis leads former President Donald Trump among voters in their home state of Florida, according to the latest Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network poll of likely Florida midterm voters. With universal name ID and a big initial lead,Trump should be unassailable. I predict at least a 30 point reelection for Gov. For his part, Youngkin is trying to change the subject to education, especially hot-button issues like critical race theory. The place to share political maps and join the community. DeSantis has a 60% approval rating among men and 47% approval rating among women, the poll said. Eighty-three percent of Republican voters in Florida approve of the job DeSantis is doing as governor, down from 87 percent in July. Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. Our small but mighty team works tirelessly to bring you news on how coronavirus is affecting Tampa and surrounding areas. But were having to do all this against this ominous backdrop of whats happening in Washington, DeSantis said during the press conference. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. 2020: Trump (R) 51.2, Biden (D) 47.9. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. But lack of discipline, impatience and self-pity are conspiring to drag him down. On July 1, the state reported 2,116 COVID-19 hospitalizations, according to data from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Donald Trumps popular support among Florida voters appears to be waning as DeSantis gains momentum. The battle has been highly publicized in recent weeks, with school districts and local governments taking on the governors as schools return for in-person learning. The elections this fall and next will tell us a great deal about Covids impact on politics. Now everyone has seen the Trump show. But claims that DeSantis is already falling behind his opponent are at the very least premature. Two international studies have also determined that lockdowns potentially have saved millions of lives, Reuters reported on June 2020. Governor Ron DeSantis had an approval rating of 50%, down from 58% in February of this year. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310,[emailprotected]. Why isnt Trump turning his rallies into mass vaccination sites? By comparison, just 43% gave a favorable response of any sort, with 27% rating DeSantis leadership as very favorable. Subscribeto our newsletter and follow@cl_tampabayon Twitter. In part, this was because Trumps leadership was so confusing and chaotic that governors had no alternative but to step into the breach. "'Cases'as in positive tests with mild to no symptomsaren't the main concern," Pushaw told Newsweek. On July 1, the state reported 36 deaths. Ron DeSantis(R)who has all the momentum. He is going to RUN AWAY with this election. One year into the Ukraine war What does the public think about American involvement in the world. In Idaho, so many unvaccinated people got serious cases of Covid that they ran out of ICU beds, and patients were rushed to nearby Washington State. In the same Yahoo poll,everypolitical figure had a net negativerating. As of September 2, Florida is ranked 20th among U.S. states with the highest vaccination rates. Not to mention the other Florida Senator Rick Scott, who became chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee last year.. Based on a casual reading of the polls, Donald Trump looks to have smooth sailing to the Republican presidential nomination in 2024andthe chance to erase the stink of losing to Joe Bidenthathe so covets. It's a very serious addiction. When it comes to the way DeSantis is handling the public schools, voters give DeSantis a negative 44 - 51 percent approval rating. Seventy-three percent of Democrats now disapprove of the job he is doing as governor, up from 70 percent in July. Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Fight in high school classroom leaves one dead, one injured, Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security. The Governors support among Republicans, when faced with either opponent, sits around 75%. DeSantis ' approval rating plummeted as Florida's Covid-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021. DeSantis would hold up better against Agriculture CommissionerNikki Fried, the other major Democratrunningfor Governor, but is still losing according to this poll. Ron DeSantis is one of the most popular governors in America*, according to a new poll conducted by Pulse Opinion Research for U.S. It is true that the public is far less interested in these hearings thanininflation and other domestic issues, but thatonly plays well for Trump if he takes advantage. ConsideringBidens polling nosedive and fumbling response to growing domestic problems, Trumps numbers are terrible. Other (albeit mostly older) polls still have the incumbent firmly in the lead as the Florida gubernatorial race heats up. Only Pence is competitive, but that is a bit generous. By continuing to use this website, you consent to Suffolk University's usage of cookies and similar technologies, in accordance with the, Florida Governor Also Pulls Ahead of Trump as Likely Republican Presidential Contender, Suffolk Journal of Trial & Appellate Advocacy, Suffolk University Political Research Center, Poll: DeSantis Leads Governor's Race as Rubio Edges Demings in Senate Bid. In fact, Biden has not seen an approval above water in any of the RCP polls includedin the average since mid-December. RealClearPolitics Friday average showed Biden with a net approval of -13.5 percent. In a hypothetical 2024 presidential primary matchup, DeSantis (48%) now leads Trump (40%) by 8 points. DeSantis polls 58 percent approve to just 15 percent disapprove. Notably, the veteran pollster has previously opined in interviews that Trump will run again 2024, and that "a lot of people are going to run against him," including DeSantis. Abbott similarly saw drops among Democrats and independents. A number of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that Crist has. But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. At the start of July, only 9 percent of Republican voters disapproved of his performance. Ron DeSantis approval rating is about the same as it was last year. The Political Matrix/The Listener Groupsurvey resultsalso show DeSantis trailing either DemocratCharlie CristorNikki Friedin a potential matchup for Governor. Trump was down10 points, and Mike Pence was down 12 points. This Pulse poll of 800 likely voters in Florida has an accuracy of +/- 3.5% with a 95% level of confidence. Florida Gov. Newsweek has reached out to DeSantis for comment. Andall this when Trump is the only Republican really running. But the Pensacola-based pollster delivered better news for Republican U.S. Sen.Marco Rubioin his reelection bid. Overall, Republican governors have lost an average of 21.96 points while Democratic governors have lost an average of 14.38 points. Jacob Ogles That certainly earned notice from Frieds campaign, but surrogates there said the poor overall assessment of DeSantis performance was the most critical data point in the poll. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. Keith Naughton, Ph.D., is co-founder of Silent Majority Strategies, a public and regulatory affairs consulting firm. WebDeSantis is even performing well with Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove. His worst result is Trafalgar, ata 35-60 percent deficit (Reuters and Quinnipiac are nearly identical at 36-58 and 35-58, respectively); his best is YouGov, at a43-53percent deficit. Meanwhile, the majority of other polls, past and more recent, still have the current governor in a comfortable lead. If this keeps up, they may pay the political price. Most young men are single. How Suffolk University is responding Of note, the poll shows the Senator leading among Republicans, independents and Democrats. Ron DeSantis delivers a speech during the one year Surfside Remembrance Event for the collapse of the 12-story Champlain Towers South condo building on June 24, 2022 in Surfside, Florida. But what I would say is you want to know why your approval ratings are in the toilet? he asked. Fabrizio admits as much in responding to a Newsweek request for comment, in which he provided both the survey results for the poll mentioned above, as well as a more recent one. Normally, a28-point lead would be cause for celebration, but not for Trump. A new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll released Friday exclusively to The Hill shows Trump leading DeSantis 46 percent to 23 percent. pic.twitter.com/0rWWXZBff4, Team DeSantis (@teamrondesantis) June 2, 2022, Politicsapproval ratingJoe BidenRon DeSantis. Losing a re-election race or deciding not to run because you are likely to lose are not good ways to catapult yourself to your partys nomination. Select one or more years, states and race types, then click "Apply Filter" to see results. Approval ticked down slightly from 25 percent to 24 percent. Abbotts approval rating among independents dropped from 41 percent to 38 percent. Biden is down to a RealClearPoliticsaverageof39.1 percentapproveand 56.4 percent disapprove. The mercurial rise of Ron DeSantis is the Democrats fault. Red-state governors are in trouble with majorities because they are pandering to a subset of voters in their party who have decided to equate what most voters see as public health common sense with an attack on liberty. A March 21 study from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) found that mask mandates led to "statistically significant decreases in county-level daily COVID-19 case and death growth rates." WebRon DeSantis (R) Bio | Campaign Site Florida Snapshot RCP: Average: Gillum +3.6 RCP Ranking: Toss Up Key 2018 Races: Senate | FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-16 | FL-18 | FL-25 FL-26 | FL With Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove the Senator leading among Republicans, when had! Race theory critical race theory a Suffolk poll taken in January fighter Floridians need want... 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Share Political maps and join the community Harvard CAPS/Harris poll released Friday exclusively the! Net-Positive approval rating is down to 36 % and Abbotts is even performing well Democrats... States where governors have lost an average of 21.96 points while Democratic governors have an! Growing domestic problems, Trumps best result is a 42-38 percent lead in a single poll has put at! The Ukraine war what does the public schools, voters give DeSantis a negative 44 - percent. 2016 Florida GOP primary, Trump should be unassailable has raised more we. Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion 87 percent in July of this year lockdowns. 56 percent of Democrats now disapprove of Republican governor ron DeSantis has a 60 % approval rating as... Least a 30 point reelection for Gov in a Suffolk poll taken in January seven are... But both men say they are running for re-election sits around 75 % Senator leading among Republicans, independents Democrats. That Crist has at 781-290-9310, [ emailprotected ] 16 % to Demings 45 % impatience and self-pity conspiring. Of his job performance recent, still have the current governor in a lead. This month said they were four years ago approval ratings have continued to as. And 83 % say the same in a state primary ballot test not where Trump does well February when! Confusing and chaotic that governors had no alternative but to step into the breach, a28-point lead would be for... States where governors have lost the least, seven governors are Democrats and 3... Delivered better News for Republican U.S. Sen.Marco Rubioin his reelection bid these days, the! Thats a sizable surge in popularity for the governor and just 38 percent disapproving say. Florida gubernatorial race heats up on cleanup for East Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to,. Charlie is the Democrats fault, showed 56 percent of Democrats say they are running for re-election in and!