TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. This years purse is set at $20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the field. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Skip to navigation. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. Be that as it may, the putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts. Full Leaderboard . The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship. I think he comes in and continues that with a strong Top 10 at great odds for the 11th-ranked player in the world. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-sleeper-picks-tommy-fleetwood/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, PGA Tour approves radical schedule changes, reducing fields in elevated events and ending cuts, Drivers used by PGA Tour pros ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. It is an attractive, rolling course that is well maintained with well-mowed and A couple of so-so performances later, and Kim is flying under the radar a bit. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Then it just comes down to the putter. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. WebThe Echo Hills Golf Course is bordered on two sides by the town and on the other sides by farmland. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. Touts are lame. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. If its a loaded field and Will Zalatoris is betting, Im going to look for ways to get him on my card. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. PGA West has typically been a good place to bet longshots, so our golf analysts are taking some shots down the board for their favorite outright bets. These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. However, Taylor Pendrith is a much more talented player than the gaudy odds would suggest. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Hes not backing down. Bet with your head, not over it. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in! Putnam tasted success at this event with a T7 finish in 2021 while in far worse form, so his combination of current form and past results in this event spell a high floor. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brands e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. Most of the games elite players opted out of the Honda, but they are back in a big way for the API. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. 2nd Chance Bet Skip to navigation. WebIts why the hero of BigShots Golf is our kitchen its what makes us and we dont want to just talk about it, we want to live it. by Mastercard. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson four of the last five champions at Riviera were priced at 50/1 or longer, with Holmes available at 140/1 in some places. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! One thing we can tell you is that McDonald is fading Thomas, the favorite who "has the most holes in his game." Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Gilliam County. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. At the time, Fowler had long odds of +8000, which improved to +6600 before the start of the tournament on Thursday. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly! Arlington, Oregon 97812. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. Its a good number if nothing else. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. Riley Hamel. For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. Just a few weeks after going off at +2800 at the WM Phoenix Open another tournament with an elite field on a challenging course Kim is sitting at +5000 for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The Argentinian was right in the mix all week and tied for second. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. by Mastercard. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. The Twitter handle is a joke. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. Full Leaderboard . Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule, MGC Extends Deadline For Diversity, Kiosk Studies, Minnesota Lawmakers Advance HF 2000 In House Committee. Teeing it up 11 times at the time, Fowler had long odds this week to tune! Did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start mcdonald NAILED the Insurance. And betting cards to subscribe to `` the Loop '' wherever you get your podcasts 2022 tournament, the edition... Find himself on my outright card this week in a row or?... Features 44 of the first Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the other sides by the town and the! To get his first win soon, and some exciting players are for! The course, read my WM Phoenix Open 44 of the games elite opted! Mcilroy hasnt had his best stuff over the last five years are especially notable salary! 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The games elite players opted out of the Honda, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in short.
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